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Economy
Fed Rates
5
Largest private company end of July?
Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation on July 31?
1%
Yes
No
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?
96%
Yes
No
Will Canva have the highest private market valuation on July 31?
1%
Yes
No
+8 more
$0 Liq.
Economy · Jun 30 4:22 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
70%
Yes
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
51%
Yes
No
$218 Liq.
Fed Rates · May 13 3:35 AM
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?
59%
Yes
No
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
59%
Yes
No
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
59%
Yes
No
$438 Liq.
Economy · Apr 13 10:27 PM
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
13%
Yes
No
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
9%
Yes
No
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
4%
Yes
No
$0 Liq.
Economy · Jan 2 6:56 PM
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
46%
Yes
No
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
12%
Yes
No
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
25%
Yes
No
+2 more
$445 Liq.
Economy · Nov 12 10:54 PM
US recession by end of 2026?
25%
Chance
Yes
No
$181 Liq.
Economy · Sep 29 10:29 PM
Fed Decision in July?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
59%
Yes
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
59%
Yes
No
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
59%
Yes
No
+1 more
$622 Liq.
Economy · Mar 20 12:13 AM
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
59%
Chance
Yes
No
$156 Liq.
Economy · Sep 29 10:29 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
30%
Chance
Yes
No
$160 Liq.
Economy · Apr 13 10:22 PM
No more data available
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